Brand Bid Decider
Free, no signup. Compare Ads performance with organic brand visibility. The output is a modeled test recommendation, not a claim of incrementality.
Paste Ads search terms first, then GSC Queries. Separate data sets with a line containing ---. Files never leave your browser.
| Term | Verdict | Organic position | Organic / expected CTR | Cost | Conversions |
|---|
Site passport Local context for this saved site
Local data
Saved targets, named lists, and recent check summaries remain only in this browser.
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Runs entirely in your browser — nothing you paste is uploaded or stored. Anonymous run-level outcome counters may be used for aggregate research; URLs, domains, IPs, and identifiers are never included, and no statistic is released below 100 runs.
How to use it
- Paste an Ads search-terms table containing Search term, Cost, and Conversions.
- Add
---, then paste an aligned GSC Queries table. - Select Analyze and review the verdict, organic CTR, expected CTR, cost, and conversions for every Ads term.
- Use eligible rows to design a geo or time holdout. Do not pause campaigns from the model alone.
Example scenario Illustrative data
These fictional metrics show how a candidate is expressed; they do not claim an incremental savings result.
Reason: organic is effectively first and clears the modeled CTR, so test a controlled pause for cannibalization.
What the simulation shows
Test-pausing means the organic rank and CTR thresholds were met. Run-holdout means the evidence is ambiguous. The engine also defines defend-brand for supplied competitor overlap, but this page does not collect competitor terms and therefore cannot return it. Organic and expected CTR are decimals; cost and conversions are retained from the Ads row.
How it works
Ads and GSC rows are joined by exact normalized query text. The tool calculates organic clicks divided by impressions and compares that with the shared position-based CTR estimate. A row qualifies for a pause test only at position 1.5 or better and at or above expected CTR. The holdout illustration uses the imported click and conversion totals, assumes the export covers 30 days, and discloses that period assumption so you can adjust it to the actual range.
Features
- Conservative verdicts with the reason and underlying metrics.
- Exact normalized query join with no opaque semantic matching.
- Browser-only processing and required-column checks.
Limitations
- No competitor-presence, profit, impression-share, device, or geo inputs in the current UI.
- The holdout is a planning illustration, not account-specific power analysis; correct its disclosed 30-day assumption when your export covers a different period.
- Average position and modeled CTR can hide SERP-layout and query-mix differences.
- A clean test still needs conversion lag, seasonality, brand safety, and sample-ratio checks.
Frequently asked questions
When does the tool suggest testing a brand-ad pause?
It suggests a controlled pause when the exact normalized GSC query averages position 1.5 or better and its organic CTR meets or exceeds the modeled CTR for that position.
Does the Brand Bid Decider prove paid search cannibalization?
No. It identifies test candidates. Only a well-designed holdout can estimate how many paid clicks or conversions are incremental.
Why do most rows say run a holdout?
The result stays cautious when organic rank or CTR does not clear both thresholds, or when an Ads term has no exact normalized GSC match.
Does the tool detect competitor ads?
Not in the current page workflow. The engine supports a competitor-presence input, but this UI does not collect it, so it cannot produce a defend-brand verdict from these two exports alone.
Should Ads and GSC exports use the same date range?
Yes. Align dates, geography, device, and search scope as closely as possible before comparing performance.
Feature requests for Brand Bid Decider
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Informazioni sullo strumento
Confronta segnali brand Ads e organici con indicazioni trasparenti per mettere in pausa un test e dimensionare un holdout.
Funzionalità
- Confronto tra click Ads, posizione organica e CTR modellato.
- Regole esplicite per holdout e pausa del test.
- Assunzioni dichiarate per il periodo di 30 giorni.
- Risultati di pianificazione separati da una vera analisi di potenza.
Come funziona
Incolla export Ads e organico, controlla le colonne e confronta i segnali. Il decider mostra una raccomandazione di pianificazione con assunzioni e limiti visibili.
Limitazioni
- Non usa dati di presenza concorrenti, profitto, quota impressioni, dispositivo o area geografica nella UI attuale.
- L’holdout è un’illustrazione: correggi l’assunzione di 30 giorni se il tuo export copre un periodo diverso.
Domande frequenti
Il tool decide se devo interrompere Ads?
No. Offre una regola trasparente per pianificare un test; conversion lag, stagionalità e brand safety richiedono revisione.
Perché serve un holdout?
Un gruppo di controllo aiuta a confrontare il comportamento quando la copertura Ads cambia, ma non sostituisce un disegno sperimentale completo.
La posizione media prova la causalità?
No. Posizione e CTR modellato possono nascondere differenze di layout SERP e mix di query.
Posso usare un periodo diverso da 30 giorni?
Sì. Correggi l’assunzione dichiarata in base al periodo del tuo export.